The QB Index at Nakatomi - Cousins / Love / Shough / Williams

This Week's Order - Week 10

#1 Jordan Love★ GB 6-3vs MIN - Sun Nov 15, 10:00am PT - GB -3.5 - O/U 42.5First. A 45-27 road win at New England with 372 yards, 3 TD and no interceptions follows the 106.6-rating Carolina game. This is a two-game efficiency push, not credit for one big yardage total.UP 1: #2 -> #1Josh Jacobs left with a broken finger; Week 10 status pending

Last game (W9): 23/29, 372 yds, 3 TD/0 INT; 153.2 rating, 98.0 QBR - W 45-27 at NE

Why he moves: 6 passing TD and 1 INT across his last two games, with ratings of 106.6 and 153.2. Caleb's four-pick game removes the ball-security edge that kept him first.
The recent base still matters: GB is 4-1 in its last five. Love's last four ratings are 74.8, 83.0, 106.6 and 153.2, so this was not a month of uninterrupted dominance.
The support watch: Jacobs broke his right ring finger and did not return. Kaleb Johnson had 68 yards and a TD on 14 carries. A timetable for Jacobs is not confirmed here.
Next test: Minnesota at Lambeau. The early market has Green Bay favored by 3.5 with a 42.5 total. Week 10 practice reports and final availability are pending.

#2 Caleb Williams CHI 7-2W10 BYE - next: vs NO, Sun Nov 22, 10:00am PTSecond. Chicago won 27-24, but 22/37, 279 yards, 2 TD and 4 INT is a clear step back from his three interception-free games before Sunday. The strong prior stretch keeps him ahead of the bottom pair.DOWN 1: #1 -> #2Week 10 bye; no gameday status to certify

Last game (W9, SNF): 22/37, 279 yds, 2 TD/4 INT; 61.5 rating, 52.0 QBR - W 27-24

Why he moves: efficiency and decisions outweigh the team result. Love now has two strong games in succession, while Caleb's interception-free run ended with four picks.
Why he stays second: his previous three games produced 860 passing yards, 4 TD and no interceptions. One bad night does not erase that work.
The bye gives Chicago a week before New Orleans visits on Nov 22. Do not carry Sunday's active labels forward as future availability.

#3 Kirk Cousins LV 4-5vs SEA - Sun Nov 15, 1:05pm PT - SEA -3.5 - O/U 43.5Third. The Jets rebound did not carry into San Francisco: 22/32, 216 yards, 1 TD and 3 INT in a 38-17 loss. That is a sharp setback after his 141.0-rating Week 8. The rebound needs to last longer than one game.HOLDS #3W9: 3 INT; Seattle next

Last game (W9): 22/32, 216 yds, 1 TD/3 INT; 58.9 rating, 59.5 QBR - L 17-38 at SF

The game audit: all three interceptions came after halftime. The Raiders' recap calls this his first three-interception game since 2024. Zero sacks taken does not mean zero pressure.
Why he holds: the 141.0-rating Jets game and broader passing production still give him the edge over Shough. The gap narrows after this loss, but one weekend does not flip the bottom pair.
Next test: Seattle visits Las Vegas. The early market makes the Raiders 3.5-point home underdogs, with a 43.5 total. Week 10 injury reports are pending.

#4 Tyler Shough NO 3-5vs CAR - Sun Nov 15, 10:00am PT - NO -1.5 - O/U 47.5Fourth, closer to Cousins. A 23-22 overtime win included 265 passing yards, no interceptions and a late regulation scoring drive before the winning overtime TD pass. Five sacks and a 60% completion rate keep the efficiency verdict measured.HOLDS #4C Erik McCoy left with a biceps injury; status pending

Last game (W9): 21/35, 265 yds, 1 TD/0 INT; 93.2 rating, 54.1 QBR; 10 rushes, 51 yds - W 23-22 OT vs CLE

More than the final margin: Shough led a 55-yard TD drive late in regulation and hit Juwan Johnson for the 15-yard overtime TD. Cleveland's answering TD was followed by a failed two-point try.
The comparison: Sanders passed for 297 yards and 2 TD without an interception; Shough had the late scoring drives and the win. Judge the quarterbacks separately from their team records.
Protection watch: McCoy left late in the fourth quarter with a biceps injury. Banks Jr. returned and Tyson debuted, but the center injury is new; a Week 10 timetable is not confirmed here.
Next test: Carolina visits. New Orleans is an early 1.5-point favorite with a 47.5 total. Week 10 practice and availability reports are pending.

The Injury Wire

GB: Jacobs broke his right ring finger

Packers game notes confirm Jacobs left and did not return. His ability to grip the ball is the issue. Week 10 status is pending; no return date assumed.

NO: McCoy biceps injury

The Saints recap says McCoy left late in the fourth quarter. Week 10 status is pending; no severity or return date assumed.

New week, new availability checks

Week 9 active lists are historical, not Week 10 clearance. Wednesday reports will be checked on Thursday; gameday inactives will be verified before active labels appear. Chicago is on bye.

The Road Ahead - Verified Schedule

Upcoming games from current ESPN schedules. Old October FPI values have been removed rather than presented as current.

Love - GB

W10: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers - Sun Nov 15, 10:00am PT
W11: BYE
W12: Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams - Wed Nov 25, 5:00pm PT
W13: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints - Sun Dec 6, 10:00am PT

Caleb - CHI

W10: BYE
W11: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears - Sun Nov 22, 10:00am PT
W12: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions - Thu Nov 26, 10:00am PT
W13: Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears - Sun Dec 6, 10:00am PT

Cousins - LV

W10: Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders - Sun Nov 15, 1:05pm PT
W11: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos - Sun Nov 22, 1:25pm PT
W12: Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns - Sun Nov 29, 10:00am PT

Shough - NO

W10: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints - Sun Nov 15, 10:00am PT
W11: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears - Sun Nov 22, 10:00am PT
W12: New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals - Sun Nov 29, 10:00am PT

How the Order Gets Built

Performance: most recent game first - efficiency (QBR, sacks, picks) over raw counting stats, with rushing floor counted.
Health: quarterback first, then weapons, then offensive line. Availability and severity matter; an old active list is not clearance for the next game.
Opponent: current matchup and pass-rush context. Old FPI values are omitted when a current rating cannot be verified.
Market check: spread, total and implied team points from DraftKings lines. When the market and the model disagree, the page says so.
The order moves on a recent body of work, not team record alone. Love rises on consecutive strong efficiency games; Caleb falls after four interceptions but retains credit for his previous three games. Cousins and Shough hold while the gap narrows.

THE QB INDEX

This Week's Order - Week 10

The Injury Wire

The Road Ahead - Verified Schedule

How the Order Gets Built