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Jul 25, 2025 - Jul 28, 2025
Economic Calendar
Mon 21.07
Tue 22.07
Wed 23.07
JP
JP
Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks
23:50
23
Low Impact
JP
JP
Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)
23:30
12
Medium Impact
JP
JP
Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY)
23:30
19
High Impact
Thu 24.07
JP
JP
Coincident Index
05:00
22
Low Impact
GB
GB
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)
06:00
11
Medium Impact
GB
GB
Retail Sales (MoM)
06:00
High Impact
Fri 25.07
No Events
Sat 26.07
No Events
Sun 27.07
FI
FI
Consumer Confidence
05:00
13
Low Impact
Mon 28.07
NO
NO
Retail Sales
06:00
23
Low Impact
ES
ES
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)
07:00
4
Medium Impact
Tue 29.07
Wed 30.07
Thu 31.07
Fri 01.08
Impact Level
Low Impact
Medium Impact
High Impact
Coincident Index
The Coincident Index released by the Cabinet Office is a single summary statistic that tracks the current state of the Japanese economy. A rise in the index indicates an expansion of economic activity and a decline in the index indicates a contraction in economic activity. Generally speaking, a result that values above 50% signals appreciates (or is bullish for) the JPY, whereas a result that values below 50% are seen as negative (or bearish).
What Assets does this event affect?
U
USDJPY
A
AUDJPY
C
CADJPY
C
CHFJPY
E
EURJPY
G
GBPJPY
N
NZDJPY
N
JP225
History of Coincident Index
Actual
Forecast
True Range, %
0.14
0
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0
What Happened to USDJPY
Price after the event
1 H
0%
1 D
+1.11%
1 W
+2.21%
1 M
-
News Sentiment 1 day before
51%
49%
Potential Range of USDJPY, Based on average of last 10 events
1 H
0.06%
8.6 pips
1 D
0.6%
87.1 pips
1 W
1.05%
152.9 pips
1 M
1.15%
166 pips
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News
25/07/2025 02:47
Japanese Yen sticks to softer Tokyo CPI-led losses; reviving BoJ rate hike bets limit losses
Inflation
The Japanese Yen (JPY) extends the overnight pullback from a two-week top against a broadly stronger US Dollar (USD), lifting the USD/JPY pair to mid-147.00s during the Asian session on Friday.
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24/07/2025 23:57
Japan's Tokyo CPI inflation eases to 2.9% YoY in July
Inflation
Macroeconomics
The headline Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July rose 2.9% YoY as compared to 3.1% in the previous month, the Statistics Bureau of Japan showed on Friday.
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24/07/2025 11:40
USD/JPY: Markets eye stronger services PMI into July 31 BoJ – Scotiabank
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is entering Thursday’s NA session unchanged against the US Dollar (USD), having faded its early Asian session gains driven by the release of a mixed set of PMI’s, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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24/07/2025 11:31
USD/JPY rebounds above 146.00 as Japan's PMI steadies – BBH
USD/JPY recovered above 146.00 after testing a two-week low yesterday around 145.86, BBH FX analysts report.
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24/07/2025 10:29
USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range of 145.95/146.95 – UOB Group
Technical Analysis
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 145.95/146.95 against Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, rapid increase in momentum indicates USD could weaken to 145.75, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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24/07/2025 10:22
USD/JPY claws back losses as US Dollar gains ground
Fed
The USD/JPY pair recovers its early losses and flattens around 146.50 during the European trading session on Thursday.
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24/07/2025 08:15
JPY: Lots of positives in the price – ING
Technical Analysis
The Japanese Yen (JPY) has continued to strengthen overnight, remaining the best performer in G10 since the start of the week, up 1.8% against the US Dollar (USD), ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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24/07/2025 02:34
Japanese Yen retreats from two-week top against rebounding USD, bullish bias remains
The Japanese Yen (JPY) retreats slightly from an over two-week high touched against its American counterpart this Thursday, though any meaningful depreciation still seems elusive.
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23/07/2025 16:02
USD/JPY edges lower as US-Japan trade deal supports flows to the Yen
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY is experiencing its third consecutive day of losses on Wednesday as traders reassess positioning in the wake of a newly announced trade agreement between the US and Japan.
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23/07/2025 11:32
JPY trade relief is tempered by political risk – Scotiabank
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is up a marginal 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) as market participants temper their response to the announcement of a US/Japan trade agreement amid uncertainty surrounding PM Ishiba’s political future, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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23/07/2025 10:48
US-Japan trade deal spurs market rally – BBH
US and Japan reached a trade agreement. Under the deal, Japanese goods will face a 15% tariff, up from 10% but down from a threatened 25%. The levy on Japanese auto exports to the US will be reduced to 15% from 25%, BBH FX analysts report.
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23/07/2025 10:35
USD/JPY: Strong momentum suggests further USD weakness – UOB Group
Technical Analysis
Strong momentum suggests further US Dollar (USD) weakness against Japanese Yuan (CNH), but any decline might not be able to break the major support at 145.75.
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23/07/2025 10:16
USD/JPY: Markets are selling rallies – OCBC
Technical Analysis
This morning, Trump announced he reached a trade deal with Japan, with tariffs on Japanese imports set at 15% while Japan will invest $550bn into the US. Pair was last at 146.43, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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23/07/2025 10:07
USD/JPY trims gains and retreats to 146.60 after the US Japan trade deal
Fed
The US Dollar-Yen recovery from 146.25 lows on Tuesday has been short-lived, as the pair was capped at 14715 before giving away previous gains.
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23/07/2025 09:24
Yen gains capped by politics – ING
Technical Analysis
Japanese markets are showing signs of strength, but political uncertainty is capping yen gains. Despite bullish signals from equities and rates, USD/JPY remains stuck near 147, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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23/07/2025 09:21
JPY: Deal and possible snap elections – Commerzbank
Technical Analysis
The Japanese yen is virtually unchanged this morning. However, this is not due to a lack of news. Rather both sides seem to be roughly balancing each other out, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
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23/07/2025 08:31
Nikkei breakout holds – Société Générale
Technical Analysis
The Nikkei 225 has confirmed a bullish breakout above its multi-month range, powered by an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Momentum remains strong, with targets set near last year’s highs and beyond, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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23/07/2025 02:36
Japanese Yen trims a part of intraday losses against USD after PM Ishiba's comments
The Japanese Yen (JPY) trims a part of its intraday losses after Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said that he did not discuss his resignation at all and that there was absolutely no truth to media reports about his intention.
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22/07/2025 13:28
USD/JPY dips as attention shifts to US-Japan trade talks
Macroeconomics
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is extending gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday. Investors are closely monitoring high-level US–Japan trade talks and assessing recent developments in Japan’s domestic politics.
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22/07/2025 11:29
USD/JPY is consolidating recovery from range low – Scotiabank
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is also trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) and consolidating its recent recovery from the lower end of its recent range, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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